Analysis of Bitcoin's Future - Predictions and Factors
Unpacking Bitcoin's Potential for Growth Amidst Halving Events, Institutional Interest, Global Acceptance, Regulatory Developments, and Economic Uncertainty | That's TradingNEWS
Bitcoin Forecast: $300,000 by 2028, Predicts Mark Yusko
Morgan Creek Capital Management CEO, Mark Yusko, anticipates that the Bitcoin price could reach a staggering $300,000 by 2028. Yusko bases his prediction on the upcoming Bitcoin supply cut scheduled for next year, which he believes will initiate a rally propelling it past gold's $6 trillion market capitalization. "The monetary value of gold is about $6 trillion; I think Bitcoin can replace all of that. The monetary equivalent of $6 trillion is about a 10X from here, which gives us a price of about $300,000 per Bitcoin," Yusko stated in an interview with Coindesk.
Bitcoin has consistently added a zero to its value with every halving event. The fourth halving expected in April next year will reduce the supply of new Bitcoin awarded to miners to just over three, down from six currently. Yusko believes Bitcoin's attributes of portability and divisibility make it a suitable candidate to supplant gold.
Cryptocurrency Market Bounces Back, Bitcoin Leading the Charge
The cryptocurrency market cap has recently rebounded to above $1.18 trillion, showing an improvement of 1.6% within a span of 24 hours. Alex Kuptsikevich, a senior market analyst at FxPro, attributes this recovery to an unexpected buying spree triggered by Fitch's surprising downgrade of the U.S. long-term credit rating.
The Fitch rating cut caused a flurry of activity within the crypto and gold markets. Bitcoin, the largest digital asset, is currently trading near $29,500, making strides towards the bottom end of the $30,000 to $31,000 range. A resurgence beyond the critical $30,000 level, which it briefly surpassed earlier on Wednesday, will be pivotal for its technical outlook.
Fitch Rating Downgrade Triggers Rally in Bitcoin and Gold
Fitch's surprise downgrade of the U.S. long-term credit rating has impacted various markets, including Bitcoin and gold. In theory, a decline in confidence in the U.S. could spur an increased interest in decentralized currencies like Bitcoin.
Ether (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency, also saw an increase, moving up by 1.5% to surpass $1,850. Other smaller cryptocurrencies or 'altcoins' like Cardano and Polygon (MATIC) saw similar upward movements, each increasing by approximately 1%.
Analysts Forecast Bitcoin Could Reach $1 Million
Although Bitcoin has been moving in a largely sideways pattern for the past several weeks, some industry experts suggest that it could reach a staggering $1 million. Factors supporting this speculation include the upcoming Bitcoin halving event in May 2024 and the growing institutional interest in Bitcoin as a result of BlackRock's surprise application for a Bitcoin ETF.
As Bitcoin becomes a more accepted payment method worldwide, the demand for the cryptocurrency could also increase, driving up its price. The favorable regulatory environment in countries like the UK and Malta could further bolster Bitcoin's growth.
Amidst a global economic crisis, renowned investor Robert Kiyosaki predicts Bitcoin will hit $120,000 next year as many people turn to it as a safe-haven asset. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $29,467, recording an increase of 1.76% on the day.
BlackRock's Unexpected Bitcoin ETF Application Spurs Institutional Interest
The CEO of the world's largest asset manager, BlackRock, Larry Fink, recently made a dramatic turnaround in his stance on Bitcoin. He went from claiming that clients had "zero interest" in crypto assets to becoming an ardent supporter of Bitcoin. The unexpected application from BlackRock for a spot Bitcoin ETF in June 2023 sparked a chain reaction among other companies, many of which followed suit by filing their Bitcoin ETF applications with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This shift in institutional interest was marked by a significant uptick in Bitcoin's price, with billionaire Mike Novogratz identifying it as a turning point.
Widespread Acceptance of Bitcoin as a Payment Method
With an increasing number of businesses, both online and brick-and-mortar, beginning to accept Bitcoin as a payment method, Bitcoin's acceptance as a global currency is on the rise. According to Coin ATM Radar, as of August 2023, there are 36,316 crypto ATMs worldwide, with 236,756 other service providers offering Bitcoin-to-cash and cash-to-Bitcoin services in 71 countries. The proliferation of these services points to a growing demand for Bitcoin and, by extension, potential for further price increases.
Regulatory Environment Becoming More Favorable Towards Bitcoin
Governmental attitudes and regulatory policies towards Bitcoin have been increasingly positive. A notable example is the UK's financial services minister, Andrew Griffith, who rejected a proposal to regulate retail trading and investing in crypto as gambling. Another testament to this favorable environment is the island nation of Malta, which has used cryptocurrencies for the longest time among all countries. With several bills aimed at making Malta a global leader in crypto regulation, the country offers a favorable environment for crypto exchanges like Binance to thrive.
Economic Situation and Bitcoin's Role as a Safe Haven
As global economic turmoil persists, Bitcoin continues to be viewed as a safe haven asset. Prominent investor and author of 'Rich Dad Poor Dad,' Robert Kiyosaki, has criticized claims of a strong US economy made by the Wall Street Journal (WSJ). Kiyosaki advises followers to buy assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin to weather the potential financial depression and stock market crash, predicting that Bitcoin will hit $120,000 next year.
In summary, with a diverse range of factors influencing Bitcoin's future, from halving events to institutional interest, worldwide acceptance, regulatory developments, and its status as a safe haven, the potential for Bitcoin's price to hit new heights is tangible. As it stands, Bitcoin is trading at $29,467, showing an increase of 1.76% on the day. However, as history has shown us, the world of Bitcoin and cryptocurrency at large is an unpredictable and exciting frontier, with changes capable of occurring in a heartbeat. Only time will tell where Bitcoin's trajectory will ultimately lead.
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