XRP ETFs XRPI And XRPR Attract $1.27B As XRP-USD Clings To $2.00 Support Zone

XRP ETFs XRPI And XRPR Attract $1.27B As XRP-USD Clings To $2.00 Support Zone

XRP hovers around $2.05 after a drop from $2.42, while XRPI at $11.85 and XRPR at $16.77 ride steady U.S. ETF inflows and fresh EU licensing progress despite soft derivatives demand | That's TradingnEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 1/16/2026 9:18:22 PM
Crypto XRP/USD XRPR XRPI XRP

XRP-USD, XRPI And XRPR – ETF Flows, Regulation Tailwind And A $2.00 Battlefield

Spot XRP-USD Near $2.05 While XRPI At $11.85 And XRPR At $16.77 Track A Controlled Pullback

XRP-USD trades around $2.04–$2.06 after three consecutive down days, fading from the $2.40 area and drifting back toward the $2.00 psychological level. The short-term tape is corrective, not a collapse: sellers repeatedly defend the $2.13–$2.15 band and every push into that zone triggers supply. On the ETF side, the NASDAQ-listed XRPI changes hands near $11.85, with a session range of $11.70–$11.95, against a 1-year band of $10.44–$23.53 and average daily volume close to 528K shares. That puts XRPI in the upper third of its yearly range but still roughly 50% below last year’s $23.53 peak, giving significant room both ways. The BATS-listed XRPR trades around $16.77, intraday $16.65–$17.02, versus a 52-week range of $14.79–$25.99 and very light average volume near 13.9K shares. XRPR is sitting just above the middle of its band: roughly $2 above the floor at $14.79 but almost $9 below the $25.99 high, which means any renewed momentum in XRP-USD can move this thinly traded ETF very quickly in either direction. Together, spot and ETF pricing say the same thing: the market is digesting the rally from roughly $1.80 to $2.40 rather than abandoning the XRP story.

XRP-USD Under Pressure As Exchange Reserves Rise To 2.7 Billion Tokens And Derivatives Cool Off

On the on-chain and derivatives side, pressure is visible. XRP held on centralized exchanges has climbed from roughly 2.64 billion tokens at the end of December to about 2.67 billion at the start of this week and now around 2.7 billion. That increase of about 60 million tokens over a couple of weeks, while price slips from $2.42 toward $2.05, clearly signals that some holders are moving coins to exchanges with the intention to sell into strength. Futures open interest has rolled over from a $4.55 billion peak on January 8 – printed just after XRP spiked to around $2.42 – to roughly $3.98 billion and then lower on the latest leg of the pullback. That nearly $600 million decline in open interest reflects leverage being taken off the table as late longs are forced out and short-term traders de-risk into the ETF-driven spot bids. The combination of rising exchange balances and softening derivatives positioning explains why every approach to $2.13–$2.15 gets sold: speculative capital is harvesting profits rather than pressing for a breakout while the macro tape is shaky.

XRP ETF Flows Above $1.27 Billion – XRPI And XRPR Sit On Top Of A Growing Institutional Base

The ETF channel is telling a different story from the order books. U.S. spot XRP ETFs have accumulated roughly $1.26–$1.27 billion in net inflows since launch, with total net assets near $1.51 billion, representing around 1.2% of XRP’s market capitalization. Daily flow data show net inflows of about $11 million one session, followed by roughly $17.06 million the next, even as XRP-USD dropped 3–4% on the day. That means regulated money kept buying while the chart went red. Within those flows, single issuers attracted between $7.16 million and $7.20 million in one day, with another fund adding $3.36 million, while only a smaller product showed a minor outflow of about $0.66 million. Trading activity in XRP ETFs remains moderate at around $22 million in value for the session, so these flows meaningfully lift AUM and liquidity. For XRPI and XRPR, that institutional base matters: cumulative inflows, no recorded net outflow days so far, and rising net assets create a more stable shareholder register that is less likely to dump into every short-term headline.

Regulatory And Licensing Progress Put XRP On A Different Track Than Many Altcoins

On the regulatory front, XRP has a few advantages that justify differentiated ETF demand. In Europe, Ripple has secured preliminary authorization for an e-money license in Luxembourg, opening the door to offer regulated digital-asset payment services across the European Union. In parallel, the company is pursuing a CASP license under MiCA, positioning the XRP ecosystem to operate squarely inside the EU’s new regulatory framework instead of around it. That combination – passportable licensing plus MiCA alignment – is exactly what conservative capital wants to see before increasing exposure. In the U.S., the XRP ETF race has accelerated as seven issuers, including large asset managers, have filed updated S-1 statements for spot XRP products. The amended structures move from simple cash-only creations toward mixed models that allow XRP or cash creations and cash or in-kind redemptions, addressing technical and liquidity concerns raised by regulators. The synchronized refiling from seven houses in one batch is a clear signal that feedback loops with the SEC are active and that sponsors are adjusting terms to get to the finish line. XRP’s reaction on that day – a move up of about 7% to roughly $3.08 during a broader market rally – underlines how sensitive price is to incremental regulatory progress.

 

Macro Context: Crypto Risk Sentiment Hit By U.S. Bill Delays While XRP Holds Key $2.00 Support

The current pullback is happening in a softer macro tape rather than in isolation. Bitcoin has slipped from recent highs above $97,800 toward $95,000, with a day low near $94,300–$94,400, while Ethereum trades around $3,270–$3,280 after failing to hold a push above $3,300. A contentious U.S. crypto market structure bill that was supposed to move forward in the Senate has been delayed, after high-profile industry executives criticized its restrictive language. Both the Banking and Agriculture committees pushed back markups, signaling more negotiation and more uncertainty. That political noise dragged the crypto Fear & Greed Index back down by about 12 points to neutral near 49, just one day after it briefly ticked into greed territory for the first time in months. Against that background, XRP’s three-day slide from around $2.42 to roughly $2.05 is consistent with broad risk-off rather than idiosyncratic XRP damage. The important point is that $2.00 remains intact so far; that level is both psychological support and a pivot for short-term traders. As long as it holds on closing basis, the structure remains consolidation, not breakdown.

Technical Picture: XRP-USD Fighting The 50-Day EMA At $2.08 With A Bearish Bias Below $2.13

Technically, the daily chart is in a classic digestion phase. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average sits around $2.08, acting as immediate resistance overhead and capping every intraday bounce. Above that, the 100-day EMA near $2.20 and the 200-day EMA around $2.32 form a stacked supply zone where the last rally stalled. The MACD line has crossed below its signal on the daily timeframe and the histogram has flipped negative, confirming that downside momentum is building rather than fading. The RSI hovers around 50, with risk of a push below the midline if one more wave of selling hits. On the tape, XRP has declined roughly 3.7% over 24 hours, from about $2.149 to $2.070, with a late-session flush pushing price briefly to $2.059 before dip buyers stepped in. Intraday volatility of roughly 4.7% on a $2 asset is not extreme for crypto, but combined with repeated rejections near $2.13, it shows that this is a sell-the-rally environment. From here, the technical levels are clear: hold $2.05–$2.06 and XRP-USD can continue basing and attempt another run at $2.13–$2.15; lose that band and the door opens to a test of the round $2.00 figure, where more aggressive buyers are likely waiting.

XRPI And XRPR Liquidity, Volatility And How They Translate XRP-USD Moves Into ETF Performance

For traders using XRPI and XRPR instead of spot XRP, liquidity and structure matter. XRPI at $11.85 on roughly 527.57K average daily volume offers tight tracking and relatively efficient execution for U.S. accounts that prefer a 40-Act ETF wrapper or lack direct access to crypto venues. The 1-year range of $10.44–$23.53 tells you that a move back to the prior high would mean nearly 100% upside from current levels if XRP-USD retests or exceeds its prior cycle peak. XRPR, with a last price near $16.77, a $16.65–$17.02 day range and thin average turnover around 13.89K shares, behaves more like a leveraged proxy on strong days and a liquidity trap on weak ones: gaps open more easily, and intraday slippage is higher. Both ETFs are responding primarily to XRP-USD, but they are also influenced by ETF-specific flows, spreads and creation/redemption dynamics. As cumulative XRP ETF inflows pass $1.27 billion and net assets move toward $1.5 billion, these funds should gradually see tighter spreads and deeper books, especially XRPI. That improves the risk-reward for investors who want regulated XRP exposure tied into brokerage and retirement accounts.

Balancing ETF Inflows, Regulation Tailwind And Heavy Short-Term Tape – XRPXRPI And XRPR Rated As A Buy On Weakness

Putting it together, the picture is split between short-term pressure and medium-term strengthening. On the negative side, exchange reserves rising from 2.64 to 2.7 billion tokens, futures open interest rolling down from $4.55 billion to sub-$4.0 billion, and repeated failures around $2.13–$2.15 show a market where traders are de-risking and using every bounce to take profits. Technically, XRP-USD is pinned below the 50-day EMA at $2.08, and a clean break of $2.05 would almost certainly invite a test of $2.00 or even a flush lower if macro risk sentiment worsens. On the positive side, XRP ETFs have yet to print a net outflow day, cumulative inflows are above $1.26–$1.27 billion, net assets stand near $1.51 billion, and fresh daily contributions of $11–17 million are arriving even on red sessions. Regulatory progress in Europe with the Luxembourg e-money license and MiCA CASP push, combined with the coordinated S-1 amendment wave for U.S. spot XRP ETFs, is exactly the type of structural backdrop that justifies sustained institutional allocation. Against that backdrop, XRPI at $11.85XRPR at $16.77 and XRP-USD around $2.05 look more like a consolidation phase above key support than the start of a structural breakdown. Based strictly on the numbers – strong ETF inflows, tightening exchange float versus late-2025, regulatory progress, and the absence of any fundamental shock – the stance on XRP-USDXRPI and XRPR is bullish with volatility, and the rating is Buy on weakness, with $2.00 on XRP-USD and the lower end of the recent $11.70–$11.95 range on XRPI as the key accumulation zones for investors who can tolerate drawdowns.

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