Stock Market Today - Nasdaq Drops 0.44% as Netflix (NFLX) Sinks; Tesla (TSLA) Earnings in Focus

Stock Market Today - Nasdaq Drops 0.44% as Netflix (NFLX) Sinks; Tesla (TSLA) Earnings in Focus

Dow slips from record highs, S&P 500 softens, gold tumbles to $4,028, crude oil rises to $58.60, and investors brace for Tesla’s pivotal quarterly report | That's TradingNEWS

TradingNEWS Archive 10/22/2025 3:05:51 PM
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Major Indices Retreat as Earnings and Commodities Volatility Shape Sentiment

U.S. markets slipped on Wednesday as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) declined 0.17% to 46,845.46, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) edged 0.17% lower to 6,724.13, and the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) dropped 0.44% to 22,852.35, weighed down by technology losses. The Russell 2000 (^RUT) slid 1.4% to 2,452.79, signaling weakness in small caps. Despite an 87% earnings beat rate among S&P 500 firms, momentum faded amid cautious guidance. The VIX rose 6.6% to 19.05, while the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield held at 3.977%.

Tesla (TSLA) Dominates Focus Ahead of Record-Setting Q3 Report

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) traded at $437.45 (-1.16%) as investors positioned ahead of earnings. Wall Street expects $26.27 billion in revenue, up 4% YoY, and $0.53 EPS with $3.78 billion in EBITDA, following record deliveries of 497,099 vehicles, smashing estimates of 439,800. Tesla’s energy storage output also hit a record 12.5 GWh, reinforcing the company’s vertical expansion. The key risk centers on the expiration of the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit, which ended September 30, potentially curbing demand in Q4. Tesla trades at a 191x forward P/E, far exceeding peers like Microsoft (MSFT) at 32x, highlighting how future robotaxi and AI prospects are priced in. Investors await whether Musk’s narrative of autonomous scalability can offset near-term compression in margins and delivery momentum.

Netflix (NFLX) Plunges as Tax Dispute Undermines Profitability

Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) cratered 9.44% to $1,124.22 after reporting $5.87 EPS, missing expectations of $6.97, on $11.51 billion revenue. A $619 million tax liability in Brazil shaved the operating margin down to 28%, from a forecasted 30%, leading to a downgrade in full-year margin guidance to 29%. The streaming giant maintained its ~16% revenue growth outlook and projected ad-tier income to double in 2025, with engagement metrics hitting all-time highs for the $7.99 plan. Still, the selloff erased nearly $60 billion in market value, exposing fragility in high-multiple tech stocks and reinforcing broader Nasdaq weakness.

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Surges on Blockbuster Earnings Beat

Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:ISRG) soared 16.31% to $538.22 following Q3 earnings of $2.40 per share on $2.51 billion revenue, beating consensus estimates of $1.98 EPS and $2.4 billion. The firm raised its gross margin outlook to 67–67.5%, citing lower-than-expected tariff costs and a rebound in procedure volume. Global da Vinci-assisted surgeries rose 17–17.5%, topping previous guidance, as hospitals expanded minimally invasive care capacity. ISRG’s robust margins, 0.7% tariff exposure, and global scale drove healthcare’s outperformance within the S&P 500, countering weakness in semiconductors and streaming.

Texas Instruments (TXN) and the Semiconductor Drag

Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) fell 4.83% to $172.10 after issuing weak Q4 guidance, signaling a delayed recovery for the chip sector. CEO Haviv Ilan cautioned that the “semiconductor rebound remains slow,” linking softness to macro uncertainty and lingering tariff effects. TI expects further pressure as Trump’s 100% import tariff on foreign-made semiconductors limits supply chains, despite exemptions for U.S. manufacturers. Analysts warn that trade friction could mute recovery momentum across industrial chips, cloud infrastructure, and automotive components.

AI Infrastructure Stocks Extend Gains: GE Vernova (GEV) and Vertiv (VRT)

AI infrastructure plays outperformed as GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) and Vertiv Holdings (NYSE:VRT) rallied 4–6% intraday on strong order backlogs. GE Vernova reported a 55% order surge led by its electrification division, swinging to $1.64 EPS versus a $0.35 loss last year, while Vertiv saw ~60% order growth and 63% YoY profit increase. Both cited “pricing power above inflation” as AI data center demand accelerates grid modernization. This reinforces the “AI utility trade,” with energy infrastructure becoming a stealth beneficiary of the AI boom as hyperscalers scale up electricity investment.

Gold (GC=F) Suffers Historic Pullback; Crude Oil (CL=F) Rebounds

Gold futures (GC=F) tumbled 1.97% to $4,028.10/oz, extending Tuesday’s record one-day collapse of over 6%, its steepest drop since 2013. Spot gold briefly dipped below $4,000, then stabilized as traders booked profits after a 55% YTD gain. The selloff followed speculation from IMF and World Bank meetings suggesting gold’s rally “overshot fundamentals.” Silver hovered at $47.59 (-0.24%), while platinum rose 0.87% to $1,532.50. Meanwhile, crude oil (CL=F) reversed higher by 1.35% to $58.60, aided by U.S. strategic reserve repurchase plans and reports that India will reduce Russian crude imports. Brent (BRN00) advanced 2.1% to $62.61, restoring energy sentiment after a multi-week decline.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Risk Sentiment

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) slid 2.72% to $108,812, following a rally above $110,000 earlier this week. Traders booked gains amid dollar stability and reduced haven flows from gold liquidation. Despite short-term pressure, institutional inflows remain robust, with ETF holdings nearing record highs. Crypto volatility remains subdued relative to gold, suggesting speculative repositioning rather than systemic risk-off sentiment.

Meme Mania Reawakens: Beyond Meat (BYND) and Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Retail frenzy reappeared as Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) skyrocketed 63% to $5.92, capping a 600% three-day surge after being added to the Roundhill Meme Stock ETF (MEME) and announcing expanded distribution at 2,000 Walmart (WMT) locations. Krispy Kreme (NASDAQ:DNUT) jumped 12.8% to $4.19, fueled by viral retail trading and a NASCAR sponsorship. Both moves echoed 2021’s speculative environment, with trading volumes 200x daily averages.

Alphabet (GOOG) Advances on Anthropic Cloud Deal

Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) gained 1.92% to $256.16 after reports surfaced of a potential tens-of-billions cloud partnership with Anthropic, strengthening its AI infrastructure positioning against Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). Analysts view the expanded TPU deployment as evidence of Google Cloud’s rising market share, particularly in AI model hosting.

Macro Lens: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Shutdown Drag

The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 22nd day, has delayed key macro releases. The September CPI, due Friday, is expected to show a 3.1% YoY rise, likely reinforcing expectations for a 25 bps rate cut at next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Futures markets now price a 98.9% probability of an October cut, with another reduction likely in December. The Dollar Index (DXY) eased 0.08%, while bond yields remained stable below 4%, maintaining equity valuations despite sector volatility.

Market Verdict: Hold Bias Amid Mixed Sectoral Trends

The data point to a market caught between resilient earnings and valuation fatigue. The S&P 500 maintains strong breadth but faces compression risk in mega-cap tech. The Dow remains supported by industrial and healthcare strength, while the Nasdaq shows profit-taking after extreme outperformance. AI-linked infrastructure stocks (VRT, GEV, GOOG) remain Buy-rated for growth exposure, while TSLA and NFLX face near-term pressure — rated Hold pending earnings clarity. Commodities show a tactical reset: Gold (GC=F) Hold, Crude (CL=F) Buy on demand recovery. Overall market stance: Hold with defensive tilt, as earnings remain robust but macro catalysts — inflation data and Fed decisions — dominate short-term direction.

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