Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and Risk Sentiment
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) slid 2.72% to $108,812, following a rally above $110,000 earlier this week. Traders booked gains amid dollar stability and reduced haven flows from gold liquidation. Despite short-term pressure, institutional inflows remain robust, with ETF holdings nearing record highs. Crypto volatility remains subdued relative to gold, suggesting speculative repositioning rather than systemic risk-off sentiment.
Meme Mania Reawakens: Beyond Meat (BYND) and Krispy Kreme (DNUT)
Retail frenzy reappeared as Beyond Meat (NASDAQ:BYND) skyrocketed 63% to $5.92, capping a 600% three-day surge after being added to the Roundhill Meme Stock ETF (MEME) and announcing expanded distribution at 2,000 Walmart (WMT) locations. Krispy Kreme (NASDAQ:DNUT) jumped 12.8% to $4.19, fueled by viral retail trading and a NASCAR sponsorship. Both moves echoed 2021’s speculative environment, with trading volumes 200x daily averages.
Alphabet (GOOG) Advances on Anthropic Cloud Deal
Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG) gained 1.92% to $256.16 after reports surfaced of a potential tens-of-billions cloud partnership with Anthropic, strengthening its AI infrastructure positioning against Amazon (AMZN) and Microsoft (MSFT). Analysts view the expanded TPU deployment as evidence of Google Cloud’s rising market share, particularly in AI model hosting.
Macro Lens: Inflation, Fed Policy, and Shutdown Drag
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown, now in its 22nd day, has delayed key macro releases. The September CPI, due Friday, is expected to show a 3.1% YoY rise, likely reinforcing expectations for a 25 bps rate cut at next week’s Federal Reserve meeting. Futures markets now price a 98.9% probability of an October cut, with another reduction likely in December. The Dollar Index (DXY) eased 0.08%, while bond yields remained stable below 4%, maintaining equity valuations despite sector volatility.
Market Verdict: Hold Bias Amid Mixed Sectoral Trends
The data point to a market caught between resilient earnings and valuation fatigue. The S&P 500 maintains strong breadth but faces compression risk in mega-cap tech. The Dow remains supported by industrial and healthcare strength, while the Nasdaq shows profit-taking after extreme outperformance. AI-linked infrastructure stocks (VRT, GEV, GOOG) remain Buy-rated for growth exposure, while TSLA and NFLX face near-term pressure — rated Hold pending earnings clarity. Commodities show a tactical reset: Gold (GC=F) Hold, Crude (CL=F) Buy on demand recovery. Overall market stance: Hold with defensive tilt, as earnings remain robust but macro catalysts — inflation data and Fed decisions — dominate short-term direction.