
XRP Price Forecast - Ripple XRP-USD Slips to $2.45 as Whales Sell $5.5B — Analysts Eye Rebound Toward $3
XRP Price defends key $2.35–$2.40 support amid heavy whale selloffs and fading momentum. Analysts projecting a medium-term move back toward $3.00.
Ripple (XRP-USD) Struggles Below $2.50 as Whale Selloffs Pressure the Market
Ripple’s native token XRP (XRP-USD) is under renewed selling pressure this week, trading around $2.45 after failing to sustain its brief rebound from last week’s tariff-driven crash. The cryptocurrency, which had recovered from lows near $2.00, is once again testing crucial support zones as investor sentiment turns cautious amid a combination of whale activity, macro headwinds, and technical breakdowns.
XRP Market Overview: From Tariff Shock to Fragile Recovery
Following last Friday’s violent sell-off triggered by U.S.–China tariff escalation, the broader crypto market saw over $19 billion in liquidations, with Bitcoin (BTC-USD) collapsing from $120,000 to below $110,000, dragging altcoins into a synchronized fall.
Ripple’s XRP was one of the hardest-hit top-10 assets, falling from $3.00 to $2.00, erasing nearly $30 billion in market value within hours. Despite a modest rebound to $2.58, profit-taking and weak derivatives flows capped momentum. As of Tuesday, XRP remains 3.1% lower on the day and 13.8% down week-over-week, reflecting broader risk aversion.
Open interest in XRP futures, which peaked at $9 billion in early October, has now stabilized near $4.34 billion, according to CoinGlass data. Analysts view this deleveraging as a “healthy reset,” reducing speculative leverage and positioning the market for more sustainable accumulation phases later in the quarter.
Institutional Flows and Market Structure: Buyers Return, but with Caution
Institutional interest in Ripple has re-emerged after last week’s deleveraging, with daily trading volumes surging 40.3% to $10.7 billion, signaling that professional traders are gradually rebuilding exposure. Market capitalization now stands near $154.8 billion, positioning XRP as the fifth-largest cryptocurrency globally.
However, whale activity remains a headwind. Since October 11, large holders have reportedly sold over 2.23 billion XRP, worth approximately $5.5 billion, accounting for nearly 3.7% of circulating supply. This wave of distribution has limited price momentum and raised concerns about near-term supply overhangs.
On-chain data shows reduced wallet activity among top-tier addresses, suggesting that whales are reallocating to defensive assets amid global uncertainty over tariffs and interest rates.
Technical Picture: Defending $2.35 Support Amid Weak Momentum
The technical setup for XRP/USD remains fragile. The price is currently holding above $2.40, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 35 points to rising bearish momentum. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2.63 now serves as the primary resistance level.
A decisive close below $2.35 could expose the token to deeper declines toward $2.00, which served as the post-crash rebound base. Below that, the next major support sits at $1.61, the level tested in early April.
On the upside, bulls must reclaim the $2.70–$2.75 region to reestablish momentum toward the $3.00 psychological mark. If volume accelerates above that zone, the next resistance would emerge at $3.12, aligning with 2025’s projected median breakout target.
However, as long as MACD remains in negative territory and RSI trends lower, bears maintain tactical control.
Ripple’s Fundamental Developments: Immunefi Partnership and Security Expansion
Beyond price action, Ripple’s ongoing collaboration with Immunefi has drawn industry attention. The two firms launched a $200,000 Attackthon to test and strengthen Ripple’s XRP Ledger Lending Protocol, running from October 27 to November 24. The program aims to uncover vulnerabilities in Ripple’s institutional-grade lending codebase, rewarding developers in RLUSD stablecoins.
The move is part of Ripple’s larger strategy to expand XRP Ledger utility across decentralized finance (DeFi) and enterprise-grade security. This initiative follows Ripple’s growing presence in the regulated derivatives and payments settlement markets, where it continues to leverage its partnerships with traditional institutions and global remittance firms.
The protocol’s success could cement XRP’s positioning as the leading blockchain for institutional lending — a critical narrative as the company awaits broader adoption of its ODL (On-Demand Liquidity) network.
Broader Crypto Market Impact: Trade War Ripples Across Altcoins
The renewed U.S.–China tariff conflict has sent shockwaves through global risk assets, with Bitcoin sliding 20% and Ethereum (ETH-USD) falling 10% in a week. XRP’s sharp retracement reflects its higher beta to macroeconomic uncertainty. Historically, during periods of monetary tightening or trade instability, XRP tends to underperform Bitcoin due to its closer correlation with risk sentiment and institutional flow.
However, Ripple’s strong fundamentals — including regulatory progress in multiple jurisdictions — continue to provide a stabilizing base for long-term holders.
In parallel, smaller altcoins like Maxi Doge (MAXI) and Bitcoin Hyper (HYPER) have captured speculative capital, with MAXI raising $3.6 million in its ongoing presale and HYPER surpassing $23.4 million in fundraising. This rotation underscores the appetite for early-stage volatility while established assets like XRP consolidate. Still, institutional investors remain more comfortable with XRP’s liquidity depth and regulatory transparency compared to meme-driven alternatives.
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Macro Outlook and Long-Term Price Forecast
Despite near-term turbulence, most 2025–2030 projections for XRP remain optimistic. Analysts forecast gradual appreciation toward $4.12 by 2026, $6.24 by 2027, and potentially $9.08 by 2030, assuming sustained network adoption and positive ETF flows.
This projection implies a potential 249% ROI from current levels. The model assumes continued utility-driven growth, broader ODL adoption, and integration of XRP into multi-chain settlement systems for banks and fintechs.
Ripple’s institutional use case remains its strongest pillar. As remittance corridors reopen across Asia and Latin America and global payment rails seek interoperability, XRP’s transaction speed and low fees (averaging $0.0002 per transfer) reinforce its long-term role in cross-border liquidity.
Investor Sentiment and Derivatives Market Health
Following the crash, XRP’s derivatives market appears to have stabilized. Funding rates normalized after a week of extreme liquidation, and leveraged long positions have been largely flushed out.
This structural cleanup mirrors a broader market rotation from speculative leverage toward real spot accumulation — a pattern that historically precedes major rebounds.
The Open Interest (OI) hovering near $4.34 billion, up slightly from the four-month low of $4.2 billion, indicates cautious rebuilding of confidence among traders.
Ripple vs. Emerging Competitors
Competitors like Remittix (RTX) are drawing attention with real-world payment utility, allowing users to send digital assets directly to bank accounts in over 30 countries. RTX has already raised $27.4 million in presales, with confirmed listings on BitMart and LBank, reflecting early investor appetite for fintech-linked blockchain models.
Still, Ripple’s established liquidity network, multi-decade partnerships, and regulatory standing make it a far stronger institutional play. RTX may thrive in retail payment corridors, but XRP remains the anchor for enterprise-grade cross-border settlements.
Verdict: BUY on Strategic Support – Medium-Term Bullish Bias
After analyzing XRP’s structural setup, liquidity trends, and whale activity, the data points to an asset entering a critical accumulation phase. The $2.35–$2.40 zone remains a decisive support area. Sustained defense here could spark a recovery toward $3.00, while failure would expose $2.00 in the short term.
Fundamentally, Ripple’s partnerships, expanding DeFi presence, and growing institutional usage underpin a medium-term bullish outlook despite near-term volatility.
Verdict: BUY (Short-Term Range: $2.35–$3.00 | Long-Term Target: $4.12–$6.00)